Patrick Harker, Speech: Understanding Monetary Policy Through the Housing Channel
Banking Crisis “It will take some time to evaluate how recent events may impact overall economic activity and inflation. I expect to see tighter credit conditions for households and businesses that may slow economic activity and hiring, but the full extent is still unclear.” Fed Funds “I anticipate that some additional tightening may be needed…
Read MoreMichelle Bowman, Speech/Q&A: Fed Listens Event hosted by The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Q&A Segment – Fed Funds “And as Lorie also said, inflation continues to be an issue that we’re grappling with, especially with FOMC. It continues to be far above our target, and we clearly need to continue to work to bring inflation down.” Banking “When I talk to bankers, they had an expectation from probably…
Read MoreLorie Logan, Speech/Q&A: Fed Listens Event hosted by The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Q&A Segment – Inflation & Jobs “Well, I’ve had the great pleasure of traveling across the district over the last nine months and held a number of sessions like these. And I think, Alfreda, I would say that they’re definitely common themes in all of those discussions.” “The first one of course is on everyone’s…
Read MoreRaphael Bostic, Speech/Q&A: Economic Development Commission of Florida’s Space Coast
Video of Speech and Q&A is not yet available. ———-
Read MoreFed Unfiltered, Daily Trends: Tables (4/20/23)
Christopher Waller, Speech: Innovation and the Future of Finance
Monetary Policy/Economy were not mentioned in this speech. – “Recently, I gave remarks on crypto-assets,4 discussing how individuals can make their own choices about whether to invest in speculative assets, but I also said that banks and other intermediaries choosing to engage in crypto-asset-related activities must do so in a safe and sound manner. At…
Read MoreNY Fed, Report: Moving Out of a Flood Zone? That May Be Risky!
“Our findings indicate that flood mapping is associated with higher borrower income in regions that are designated a special flood hazard zone. This is likely a mechanical response to the necessity of paying for relatively expensive insurance. However, we also find that applicant income in neighboring regions is lower than in mapped regions, despite these…
Read MoreFed Unfiltered, Annotated Graphs: 2yr & 10yr Treasury, Fed Funds (Historical)
Dallas Fed, Report: Debt Maturity and Commitment on Firm Policies
“If firms can issue debt only at discrete dates, debt maturity is an effective device against the commitment problem on debt and investment policies. With shorter maturities, debt dynamics are less persistent and more valuable because upward leverage adjustments are faster and long-run leverage lower. Debt maturities that are relatively shorter than asset maturities increase…
Read MoreJohn Williams, Speech: Attaining and Maintaining Price Stability
Banking Crisis “Nonetheless, these developments (the banking crisis) will likely lead to some tightening in credit conditions for households and businesses, which in turn will weigh on spending. It is still too early to gauge the magnitude and duration of these effects, and I will be closely monitoring the evolution of credit conditions and their…
Read MoreFed Unfiltered, Daily Trends: Tables (4/19/23)
Fed Board, Report: The Beige Book – April 2023
Overall Economic Activity “Overall economic activity was little changed in recent weeks. Nine Districts reported either no change or only a slight change in activity this period while three indicated modest growth. Expectations for future growth were mostly unchanged as well; however, two Districts saw outlooks deteriorate. Consumer spending was generally seen as flat to…
Read MoreKC Fed, Report: Tight Labor Markets Have Been a Key Contributor to High Food Inflation
“Although food inflation has eased in recent months, it remains persistently high. Labor-intensive processed food items have accounted for the bulk of recent increases in grocery prices, and tight labor market conditions have put upward pressure on wages and contributed to higher food production costs. If household budgets tighten and demand for food at restaurants…
Read MoreSt. Louis Fed, Report: Beyond GDP, Three Other Ways to Measure Economic Health
“GDP measures the value of the final goods and services produced within a country. That is, GDP is the sum of consumption, investment, government spending and net exports.” “Although GDP and its changes are the most popular indicators of a nation’s overall economic output, economists have long recognized that it is an imperfect measure of overall economic well-being. For…
Read MoreFed Unfiltered, Annotated Graphs: YC Spreads (Recession Indicators)
Fed Board, Report: Workplace Automation and Corporate Liquidity Policy
“Using an occupational probability of computerization, we measure a firm’s ability to replace labor with automated capital. Our evidence suggests that the potential to automate a workforce enhances operating flexibility, allowing firms to hold less precautionary cash. To provide evidence for this mechanism, we exploit the 2011–2012 Thailand hard drive crisis as an exogenous shock…
Read MoreFed Board, Report: Did the Pandemic Change Who Became Behind on Rent? Characteristics of Renters Behind on Rent Before and After the Pandemic Onset
“The pandemic era increased the percent of renters behind on rent but did not substantially change the composition of those behind across a variety of characteristics such as education and income. Renters behind only in 2021 were broadly similar to those also behind in both 2019 and 2021 across a range of characteristics correlated with…
Read MoreRichmond Fed, Report: Bend It Like Beverage
“Our preliminary findings suggest that, across industries, the decline in job openings may be more related to hiring challenges rather than quit rates. Industries that have had to fight harder to hire workers may see more resilience in labor demand and a slower decline in job openings as the labor market cools. But industries experiencing…
Read MoreSt. Louis Fed, Report: Measures of “Trend” Inflation
“In January 2012, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) adopted a 2% inflation target. The inflation target they chose was based on the percentage change in the all-items (headline) personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI). The FOMC noted that deviations from the 2% target rate were likely in response to economic and financial developments, but…
Read MoreAustan Goolsbee, Interview: Marketplace
Fed Funds “My message is, be prudent, be patient. The tightening of credit conditions, if they happen in a, doesn’t even have to be a credit crunch and for sure it doesn’t have to be a financial crisis. If banks are pulling back, it behooves us to pay attention to the data and ask how…
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