Fed Unfiltered, Weekly Report: 2/27/23

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Quick Overview

  • 25bps still most likely, although 50bps on the table.
  • Terminal rate is 5.25%, might be moving to 5.50%.
  • Rate cuts are forecasted for 2024 (not for 2023).

Amidst all the uncertainty, one thing is certain – the Fed Funds rate is going up. A few weeks ago, Jerome Powell mentioned how the disinflationary process (increasing rates to lower inflation) is “probably going to be bumpy”.

Since that comment was made …