Fed Unfiltered, Up to Speed: Yield Curve (YC)

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Fed: “Research and analysis about consumers, their financial experiences, and the communities in which they live inform Federal Reserve policymaking.” – Fed Board

Fed Unfiltered: Each week we’ll read through and outline the most relevant information for your decision-making.

Yield Curve (YC): The Fed Board published a report in August 2022 and said the 2yr/10yr spread offers a particularly muddle view of an upcoming recession.  According to the SF Fed and Richmond Fed, the 3m/10yr spread is a much more reliable indicator of a recession.